WINSONS

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.3 wins, so it did -44.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

-44.5 pts

Called / graded

0/3

Expected from price

1.3

Flagged volume

$124.5k

Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.7 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$197.6k

Last 30 days −$6,160 · $9.25M volume · 11,778 trades · since Nov 30, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$1.02M

Open P&L · 326 positions

−$532.0k

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

328d

1993 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	3	0	1.3	-44.5 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?	LOW BUY Yes @ 46¢	$32.2k 2.5× usual	46%	48d ago	missed
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?	LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢	$13.0k	47%	49d ago	missed
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?	LOW BUY No @ 37¢	$12.3k	37%	53d ago	excluded
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$10.2k	0%	54d ago	excluded
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-30?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$28.7k 2.2× usual	0%	54d ago	excluded
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	LOW BUY Yes @ 41¢	$17.0k	41%	147d ago	missed
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	LOW SELL Yes @ 87¢	$11.0k	13%	166d ago	excluded

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?missed

BUY Yes @ 46¢$32.2k

LOW WINSONS · 48d ago

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?missed

BUY Yes @ 47¢$13.0k

LOW WINSONS · 49d ago

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?excluded

BUY No @ 37¢$12.3k

LOW WINSONS · 53d ago

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$10.2k

LOW WINSONS · 54d ago

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-30?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$28.7k

LOW WINSONS · 54d ago

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?missed

BUY Yes @ 41¢$17.0k

LOW WINSONS · 147d ago

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?excluded

SELL Yes @ 87¢$11.0k

LOW WINSONS · 166d ago

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