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What this means. A wallet put $32.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 46% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$32.2k
BUY Yes @ 46¢ · 70,073 shares
Size ≥ $10k2.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet WINSONS took Yes (buy) for $32.2k at an average 46¢. At that price the market implied a 46% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $32.2k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 46¢ means
46%chance the market gave
+117American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 46¢
- Implied odds
- 46.0%
- As American odds
- +117 no vig
- Size
- $32.2k
- Placed
- Sep 05, 23:27 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 06, 09:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- WINSONS
- Tx
- 0x00b6eba9…
This wallet's graded record
0/3-44.5 pts
expected 1.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -46 ptsYes price · entry 46¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $74.4k 5.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $72.1k 2.8× usual |
excluded |