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What this means. A wallet put $245.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$245.8k
BUY No @ 99.7¢ · 246,560 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet MoronKiler took No (buy) for $245.8k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $245.8k+2
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.7¢
- Implied odds
- 99.7%
- Size
- $245.8k
- Placed
- May 26, 10:49 EDT
- Market close
- May 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MoronKiler
- Tx
- 0xe4ca7653…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +0 ptsNo price · entry 99.7¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $36.9k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $53.1k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |