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What this means. A wallet put $15.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 78% chance. It won. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.6k
BUY No @ 78¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet cripes3 took No (buy) for $15.6k at an average 78¢. At that price the market implied a 78% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 78¢ means
78%chance the market gave
−355American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 78¢
- Implied odds
- 78.0%
- Size
- $15.6k
- Placed
- Mar 10, 10:05 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- cripes3
- Tx
- 0xe49fa116…
This wallet's graded record
5/9+2.0 pts
expected 4.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.3k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $29.9k | excluded |