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What this means. A wallet put $48.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 21% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will England win on 2026-06-17?excluded
$48.4k
SELL Yes @ 79¢ · 61,169 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)3.3× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet n.maga took Yes (sell) for $48.4k at an average 79¢. At that price the market implied a 21% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $48.4k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
79¢
Implied odds
21.0%
As American odds
+377 no vig
Size
$48.4k
Placed
Jun 17, 17:12 EDT
Market close
Jun 17, 16:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
n.maga
Tx
0xe2eeb8ac…

Entry to resolution

Grade -21 pts
Yes price · entry 79¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 79¢ · $48.4k WHALE $48.4K @ 79¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will England win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.5k0% 0xcf60…a6f5129d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $21.4k0% Hongweiqian129d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.1k0% suntori LOSING129d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $73.5k0% 0x3dfb…abaf129d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.7k0% 0xcd8c…b750129d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $73.1k
2.9× usual
0% 0xfdf6…00a1129d agoexcluded