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What this means. A wallet put $21.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 8% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.0k
BUY No @ 8¢ · 262,899 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet 0x7583…4df2 took No (buy) for $21.0k at an average 8¢. At that price the market implied a 8% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 8¢ means
8%chance the market gave
+1150American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 8¢
- Implied odds
- 8.0%
- As American odds
- +1150 no vig
- Size
- $21.0k
- Placed
- Sep 16, 08:07 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 16, 15:30 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x7583…4df2
- Tx
- 0xe1bcbc68…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-7.0 pts
expected 1.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -8 ptsNo price · entry 8¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $96.4k | excluded |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $156.7k 9.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 97.7¢ | $30.3k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | MED BUY Yes @ 96.8¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | LOW BUY Yes @ 97.5¢ | $23.1k | excluded |