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What this means. A wallet put $13.2k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.2k
SELL Yes @ 99¢ · 13,300 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0xb5a5…e3ca took Yes (sell) for $13.2k at an average 99¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99¢
- Implied odds
- 1.0%
- As American odds
- +10062 no vig
- Size
- $13.2k
- Placed
- Sep 16, 16:00 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 16, 15:30 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xb5a5…e3ca
- Tx
- 0x53557f2f…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+31.0 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -1 ptsYes price · entry 99¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $96.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $156.7k 9.9× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 97.7¢ | $30.3k 2.0× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 96.8¢ | $30.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 97.5¢ | $23.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 97.6¢ | $13.3k | excluded |