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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +31.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+31.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$65.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±46.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$5,863
Last 30 days −$2,767 · $2.72M volume · 1,907 trades · since May 20, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$5,863
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
49%
395 closed
Wallet age · markets
157d
383 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +31.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20? | LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ | $10.9k | called |
 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
 Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ | $16.7k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb5a5dc…