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What this means. A wallet put $10.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 26% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?called
$10.4k
SELL Yes @ 74¢ · 14,098 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletEconomy

What happened

Wallet wash. took Yes (sell) for $10.4k at an average 74¢. At that price the market implied a 26% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $10.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
74¢
Implied odds
26.0%
Size
$10.4k
Placed
Aug 16, 21:42 EDT
Market close
Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
wash.
Tx
0xe1092897…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+74.0 pts
expected 0.3 from price
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