← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $162.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$162.7k
SELL No @ 50¢ · 325,360 shares
Size ≥ $100kLate (<1h before start)2.8× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet gmpm2 took No (sell) for $162.7k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $162.7k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 50¢
- Implied odds
- 50.0%
- As American odds
- −100 no vig
- Size
- $162.7k
- Placed
- Jun 25, 21:10 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 25, 22:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- gmpm2
- Tx
- 0xe088c687…
This wallet's graded record
9/18-6.9 pts
expected 10.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -50 ptsNo price · entry 50¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $32.6k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $33.2k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | HIGH BUY No @ 93¢ | $163.7k 6.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY Yes @ 38¢ | $52.5k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED SELL Yes @ 45¢ | $141.5k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $46.7k | excluded |