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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Missed
$20.5k

Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar

tennischamp bought Rafael Jodar at 73¢. The price gave that side a 73% chance. 28,078 shares, Oct 28, 23:27 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $20.5k on Rafael Jodar, at a price that gave it a 73% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet tennischamp bought Rafael Jodar for $20.5k at an average 73¢. At that price the market implied 73% for the side they took. The market resolved Valentin Vacherot, so this flag missed. It still counts toward the score.

This wallet is 0 of 1 on graded bets, -80.0 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $20.5k+0
Size ≥ $10kSports
What 73¢ means
73%chance the market gave
−270American odds
$1.00paid per share if Rafael Jodar wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade -73 pts
Rafael Jodar price · entry 73¢ · resolved Valentin Vacherot
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 73¢ · $20.5k WHALE $20.5K @ 73¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael JodarLOW SELL Valentin Vacherot @ 99.9¢ $28.3k0% kkookkoo12h agoExcluded
Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael JodarLOW SELL Rafael Jodar @ 52¢ $11.7k48% tennischamp12h agoExcluded
Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael JodarLOW SELL Rafael Jodar @ 63¢ $10.6k37% ehsantrade12h agoExcluded
Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael JodarLOW Valentin Vacherot UP +13.5 pts $320.6k
24h vol
42% —13h agoExcluded
Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael JodarLOW BUY Rafael Jodar @ 75¢ $38.3k75% tennischamp14h agoExcluded

Same game on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange. These are large trades or sudden odds moves on this same game. A public nickname shows when the social feed names that side.

NO Rafael Jodar$58.4k79¢12h ago
NO Rafael Jodar$18.3k79¢12h ago
NO Rafael Jodar$15.2k79¢12h ago
YES Rafael Jodar$29.0k58¢12h ago
NO Rafael Jodar$12.8k43¢12h ago
YES Rafael Jodar$14.5k53¢12h ago
YES Rafael Jodar$19.4k56¢12h ago
NO Valentin Vacherot$13.8k65¢12h ago