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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$38.3k

Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar

tennischamp bought Rafael Jodar at 75¢. The price gave that side a 75% chance. 51,046 shares, Oct 29, 07:39 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $38.3k on Rafael Jodar, at a price that gave it a 75% chance. The market resolved Valentin Vacherot, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet tennischamp bought Rafael Jodar for $38.3k at an average 75¢. At that price the market implied 75% for the side they took. The market resolved Valentin Vacherot. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 0 of 1 on graded bets, -80.0 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $38.3k+1
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What 75¢ means
75%chance the market gave
−300American odds
$1.00paid per share if Rafael Jodar wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade -75 pts
Rafael Jodar price · entry 75¢ · resolved Valentin Vacherot
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 75¢ · $38.3k WHALE $38.3K @ 75¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael JodarLOW SELL Valentin Vacherot @ 99.9¢ $28.3k0% kkookkoo3h agoExcluded
Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael JodarLOW SELL Rafael Jodar @ 52¢ $11.7k48% tennischamp3h agoExcluded
Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael JodarLOW SELL Rafael Jodar @ 63¢ $10.6k37% ehsantrade3h agoExcluded
Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael JodarLOW Valentin Vacherot UP +13.5 pts $10.6k whale money behind it $320.6k
24h vol
42% —4h agoExcluded
Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael JodarLOW BUY Rafael Jodar @ 73¢ $20.5k73% tennischamp13h agoMissed

Same game on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange. These are large trades or sudden odds moves on this same game. A public nickname shows when the social feed names that side.

NO Valentin Vacherot$13.8k65¢3h ago
YES Rafael Jodar$12.5k90¢3h ago
NO Valentin Vacherot$18.0k90¢3h ago
YES Rafael Jodar$24.2k62¢3h ago
YES Rafael Jodar$14.6k71¢4h ago
YES Rafael Jodar$19.4k71¢4h ago
YES Rafael Jodar$17.6k65¢4h ago
YES Rafael Jodar$10.1k64¢4h ago