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What this means. A wallet put $21.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a proven record: +15.0 pts vs the price over 46 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.9k
BUY No @ 98.6¢ · 22,222 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet ScottyNooo took No (buy) for $21.9k at an average 98.6¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.9k+0
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−7043American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.6¢
- Implied odds
- 98.6%
- Size
- $21.9k
- Placed
- May 12, 04:26 EDT
- Market close
- May 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ScottyNooo
- Tx
- 0xdefec29e…
This wallet's graded record
45/46+15.0 pts
expected 38.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $36.9k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $53.1k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |