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What this means. A wallet put $100.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 65% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?excluded
$100.0k
BUY Yes @ 65¢ · 153,846 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet NiNo999 took Yes (buy) for $100.0k at an average 65¢. At that price the market implied a 65% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $100.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 65¢ means
65%chance the market gave
−186American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
65¢
Implied odds
65.0%
As American odds
−186 no vig
Size
$100.0k
Placed
Jun 15, 14:19 EDT
Market close
Jun 15, 15:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
NiNo999
Tx
0xdd797d9a…
This wallet's graded record
0/8-53.6 pts
expected 4.3 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -65 pts
Yes price · entry 65¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 65¢ · $100.0k WHALE $100.0K @ 65¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $199.8k
6.7× usual
0% cc9999131d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $78.1k
2.1× usual
0% VPenguin131d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ $159.8k
6.9× usual
0% beet420131d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% meoooow131d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $92.9k
2.5× usual
0% Swooferdeluxe131d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $186.9k
8.9× usual
0% heal-.-131d agoexcluded