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What this means. A wallet put $129.7k on Steelers, at a price that gave it a 59% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -19.3 pts vs the price over 28 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Steelers vs. Brownsexcluded
$129.7k
BUY Steelers @ 59¢ · 219,857 shares
Size ≥ $100kLate (<1h before start)2.1× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet surfandturf took Steelers (buy) for $129.7k at an average 59¢. At that price the market implied a 59% chance for that side. The market resolved Browns. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $129.7k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 59¢ means
59%chance the market gave
−144American odds
$1.00paid per share if Steelers wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
59¢
Implied odds
59.0%
As American odds
−144 no vig
Size
$129.7k
Placed
Oct 01, 19:55 EDT
Market close
Oct 01, 20:15 EDT
Result
Browns
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
surfandturf
Tx
0xdd371dcb…
This wallet's graded record
10/28-19.3 pts
expected 15.4 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -59 pts
Steelers price · entry 59¢ · resolved Browns
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 59¢ · $129.7k WHALE $129.7K @ 59¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Steelers vs. BrownsMED SELL Browns @ 99.9¢ $445.4k0% teslaRoadster22d agoexcluded
Steelers vs. BrownsLOW SELL Browns @ 99.9¢ $12.9k0% Kev6922d agoexcluded
Steelers vs. BrownsLOW BUY Browns @ 74¢ $18.0k74% 0x2c33…056322d agoexcluded
Steelers vs. BrownsMED SELL Browns @ 78¢ $71.1k
2.7× usual
22% sulumos22d agoexcluded
Steelers vs. BrownsMED BUY Steelers @ 33¢ $31.0k33% ethanaz22d agoexcluded
Steelers vs. BrownsLOW BUY Browns @ 88¢ $67.3k88% cosmicxbt22d agoexcluded