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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$37.5k

FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5

yabanci bought Under at 45¢. The price gave that side a 45% chance. 83,398 shares, Oct 28, 15:47 EDT.

Alert on this wallet
What this means. A wallet put $37.5k on Under, at a price that gave it a 45% chance. The market resolved Over, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet yabanci bought Under for $37.5k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied 45% for the side they took. The market resolved Over. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 0 of 1 on graded bets, -70.0 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $37.5k+1
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What 45¢ means
45%chance the market gave
+122American odds
$1.00paid per share if Under wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade -45 pts
Under price · entry 45¢ · resolved Over
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 45¢ · $37.5k WHALE $37.5K @ 45¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days
Bayern Munich CEO confirms Harry Kane contract extension is nearYahoo Sports · Google News · 13h agoVincent Kompany’s ailment diagnosed as Bayern Munich makes plans for gradual returnYahoo Sports · Google News · 13h agoBayern Munich-Ajax to inaugurate Nairobi stadium for AFCON 2027ESPN · Google News · 17h agoGamethread: Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid (Women’s Champions League)Yahoo Sports · Google News · 20h ago

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5LOW BUY Under @ 46¢ $16.0k46% keeptheblueflagflyinghig17h agoExcluded
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5LOW BUY Under @ 46¢ $14.8k46% ferrariChampions202617h agoExcluded
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5Excluded
BUY Under @ 46¢$16.0k
LOW keeptheblueflagflyinghig · 17h ago
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5Excluded
BUY Under @ 46¢$14.8k
LOW ferrariChampions2026 · 17h ago