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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$16.0k

FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5

keeptheblueflagflyinghig bought Under at 46¢. The price gave that side a 46% chance. 34,783 shares, Oct 28, 15:39 EDT.

Alert on this wallet
What this means. A wallet put $16.0k on Under, at a price that gave it a 46% chance. The market resolved Over, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet keeptheblueflagflyinghig bought Under for $16.0k at an average 46¢. At that price the market implied 46% for the side they took. The market resolved Over. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 2 of 2 on graded bets, +45.0 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $16.0k+0
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What 46¢ means
46%chance the market gave
+117American odds
$1.00paid per share if Under wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade -46 pts
Under price · entry 46¢ · resolved Over
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 46¢ · $16.0k WHALE $16.0K @ 46¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days
Bayern Munich boss Vincent Kompany might not be back until November 20thBavarian Football Works · Google News · 2h ago'It's just going to take a few days' - Harry Kane edging closer to Bayern Munich contract agreementBundesliga | official website · Google News · 3h ago‘What a state of lethargy’ — Max Eberl talks his arrival at Bayern MunichBavarian Football Works · Google News · 3h agoBayern Munich supremely confident in Jonas Urbig’s futureBavarian Football Works · Google News · 5h ago

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5LOW BUY Under @ 45¢ $37.5k45% yabanci22h agoExcluded
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5LOW BUY Under @ 46¢ $14.8k46% ferrariChampions202622h agoExcluded
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5Excluded
BUY Under @ 45¢$37.5k
LOW yabanci · 22h ago
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5Excluded
BUY Under @ 46¢$14.8k
LOW ferrariChampions2026 · 22h ago