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What this means. A wallet put $40.2k on Lightning, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Canadiens vs. Lightningexcluded
$40.2k
BUY Lightning @ 60¢ · 67,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)2× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet johnny234 took Lightning (buy) for $40.2k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved Canadiens. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $40.2k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 60¢ means
60%chance the market gave
−150American odds
$1.00paid per share if Lightning wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
60¢
Implied odds
60.0%
As American odds
−150 no vig
Size
$40.2k
Placed
May 03, 17:56 EDT
Market close
May 03, 18:00 EDT
Result
Canadiens
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
johnny234
Tx
0xdab364c6…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+52.5 pts
expected 0.9 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -60 pts
Lightning price · entry 60¢ · resolved Canadiens
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 60¢ · $40.2k WHALE $40.2K @ 60¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Canadiens vs. LightningLOW SELL Canadiens @ 99.9¢ $11.9k0% Mikee12173d agoexcluded
Canadiens vs. LightningLOW SELL Canadiens @ 99.9¢ $11.8k0% Schnoodled173d agoexcluded
Canadiens vs. LightningLOW SELL Canadiens @ 99.9¢ $10.7k0% igetlitty173d agoexcluded
Canadiens vs. LightningLOW SELL Canadiens @ 99.9¢ $12.9k0% 050005000500173d agoexcluded
Canadiens vs. LightningLOW BUY Canadiens @ 61¢ $11.1k61% berbisminsk173d agoexcluded
Canadiens vs. LightningLOW BUY Canadiens @ 40¢ $44.3k40% texaskid174d agoexcluded