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+$29Yes · avg 78¢ → 80¢ · $1,029−$135Yes · avg 33¢ → 20¢ · $195 · 0 proven with, 1 against
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.4 wins, so it did -18.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-18.0 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.4
Flagged volume
$205.7k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±33.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$135.4k
Last 30 days −$120.5k · $20.42M volume · 17,755 trades · since Nov 14, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$4.13M
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$3.09M
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
344d
1473 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.4 | -18.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 69¢ | $11.2k | called |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 68¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 67¢ | $10.6k | missed |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | LOW SELL Spurs @ 68¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
 Canadiens vs. Lightning | LOW BUY Canadiens @ 61¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | LOW BUY Celtics @ 68¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
 Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | LOW SELL Team Spirit @ 99.9¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Magic vs. 76ers | LOW BUY 76ers @ 50¢ | $26.6k | excluded |
 Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.2k | excluded |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.2k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $39.1k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
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