← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $11.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 88% chance. It won. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.4k
BUY No @ 88¢ · 13,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet sdhyky took No (buy) for $11.4k at an average 88¢. At that price the market implied a 88% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 88¢ means
88%chance the market gave
−713American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 88¢
- Implied odds
- 87.7%
- Size
- $11.4k
- Placed
- May 09, 10:27 EDT
- Market close
- May 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- sdhyky
- Tx
- 0xda9ddc2a…
This wallet's graded record
5/9+5.2 pts
expected 4.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +12 ptsNo price · entry 88¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $199.8k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $58.4k | excluded |