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What this means. A wallet put $68.3k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?excluded
$68.3k
SELL Yes @ 98.8¢ · 69,120 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)3.2× this wallet's usual betPolitics

What happened

Wallet Chelseaone took Yes (sell) for $68.3k at an average 98.8¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $68.3k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
98.8¢
Implied odds
1.2%
Size
$68.3k
Placed
Jun 23, 16:28 EDT
Market close
Jun 06, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
Chelseaone
Tx
0xda076eef…
This wallet's graded record
10/11+7.8 pts
expected 9.1 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $146.5k
5.5× usual
0% Melody626111d agoexcluded
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $22.3k0% 0x4488…e319115d agoexcluded
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $22.8k100% 033033033115d agoexcluded
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $21.0k0% Tradesama115d agoexcluded
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $45.9k100% 033033033115d agoexcluded
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.8k0% whig116d agoexcluded