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Bills vs. Ramsexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $350.5k on Bills, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.2 pts over 22 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Bills vs. Ramsexcluded$350.5k
BUY Bills @ 48¢ · 727,865 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $250k5 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven wallet6.9× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet BreakTheBank took Bills (buy) for $350.5k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved Bills. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $350.5k+3
5 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 48¢ means
48%chance the market gave
+108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Bills wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 48¢
- Implied odds
- 48.1%
- As American odds
- +108 no vig
- Size
- $350.5k
- Placed
- Oct 12, 21:11 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 12, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Bills
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- BreakTheBank
- Tx
- 0xd99a82df…
This wallet's graded record
12/22+12.2 pts
expected 9.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +52 ptsBills price · entry 48¢ · resolved Bills
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bills vs. Rams | LOW SELL Bills @ 99.9¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
| Bills vs. Rams | LOW SELL Bills @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| Bills vs. Rams | MED SELL Bills @ 91¢ | $90.3k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Bills vs. Rams | LOW BUY Rams @ 85¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Bills vs. Rams | LOW BUY Bills @ 47¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| Bills vs. Rams | MED BUY Rams @ 36¢ | $68.1k | excluded |