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Broncos vs. Chiefsmissed
What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on Broncos, at a price that gave it a 45% chance. It lost. This wallet has a proven record: +21.0 pts vs the price over 28 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Broncos vs. Chiefsmissed$15.0k
BUY Broncos @ 45¢ · 33,333 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet BrotherObama took Broncos (buy) for $15.0k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied a 45% chance for that side. The market resolved Chiefs, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.0k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 45¢ means
45%chance the market gave
+122American odds
$1.00paid per share if Broncos wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 45¢
- Implied odds
- 45.0%
- As American odds
- +122 no vig
- Size
- $15.0k
- Placed
- Sep 14, 02:13 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 14, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Chiefs
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- BrotherObama
- Tx
- 0xd4bbad31…
This wallet's graded record
20/28+21.0 pts
expected 14.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -45 ptsBroncos price · entry 45¢ · resolved Chiefs
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos vs. Chiefs | MED SELL Chiefs @ 99.9¢ | $4.85M 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| Broncos vs. Chiefs | LOW BUY Chiefs @ 99.9¢ | $64.0k | excluded |
| Broncos vs. Chiefs | LOW SELL Chiefs @ 98.9¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| Broncos vs. Chiefs | LOW BUY Chiefs @ 90¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
| Broncos vs. Chiefs | LOW BUY Chiefs @ 57¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Broncos vs. Chiefs | LOW BUY Chiefs @ 65¢ | $14.3k | excluded |