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What this means. A wallet put $15.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.8k
BUY No @ 98.6¢ · 16,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteOther
What happened
Wallet 0xddd8…4471 took No (buy) for $15.8k at an average 98.6¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.8k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−6879American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.6¢
- Implied odds
- 98.6%
- Size
- $15.8k
- Placed
- Jan 16, 13:32 EST
- Market close
- Jan 17, 02:47 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xddd8…4471
- Tx
- 0xd40ba661…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+8.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +1 ptsNo price · entry 98.6¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $45.9k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $20.9k | excluded |