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What this means. A wallet put $25.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$25.7k
SELL No @ 98.2¢ · 26,128 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet 0x4fa8…d618 took No (sell) for $25.7k at an average 98.2¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $25.7k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 98.2¢
- Implied odds
- 1.8%
- Size
- $25.7k
- Placed
- Nov 23, 05:40 EST
- Market close
- Dec 09, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x4fa8…d618
- Tx
- 0xd3bf6435…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $126.9k 6.2× usual |
excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $39.9k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $225.2k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $100.0k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $19.4k | excluded |