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0x4fa8…d618

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$267.0k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$18.7k
Last 30 days −$0 · $10.51M volume · 10,861 trades · since Nov 20, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 450 closed
+$14.1k
Open P&L · 88 positions
−$1,903
Closed-position win rate
100%
450 closed
Wallet age · markets
1792d
1085 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ $39.8k1% 320d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ $29.9k1% 323d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ $31.7k1% 323d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $30.0k100% 325d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ $30.0k99% 327d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 98.9¢ $10.0k1% 327d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 98.9¢ $20.0k1% 328d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 98.7¢ $10.0k1% 333d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 98.2¢ $25.7k2% 335d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ $20.0k1% 346d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $20.0k100% 346d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.3¢$39.8k
LOW 0x4fa8…d618 · 320d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.5¢$29.9k
LOW 0x4fa8…d618 · 323d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.5¢$31.7k
LOW 0x4fa8…d618 · 323d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.5¢$30.0k
LOW 0x4fa8…d618 · 325d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.1¢$30.0k
LOW 0x4fa8…d618 · 327d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 98.9¢$10.0k
LOW 0x4fa8…d618 · 327d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 98.9¢$20.0k
LOW 0x4fa8…d618 · 328d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 98.7¢$10.0k
LOW 0x4fa8…d618 · 333d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 98.2¢$25.7k
LOW 0x4fa8…d618 · 335d ago
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.4¢$20.0k
LOW 0x4fa8…d618 · 346d ago
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.5¢$20.0k
LOW 0x4fa8…d618 · 346d ago

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x4fa84c…