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What this means. A wallet put $20.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.0k
SELL No @ 99.4¢ · 20,101 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet 0x4fa8…d618 took No (sell) for $20.0k at an average 99.4¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.4¢
- Implied odds
- 0.6%
- Size
- $20.0k
- Placed
- Nov 11, 21:31 EST
- Market close
- Dec 09, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x4fa8…d618
- Tx
- 0xfbe54ceb…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $1.42M 27.5× usual |
excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $368.9k 7.1× usual |
excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $35.4k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $93.1k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $531.0k 10.3× usual |
excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $35.4k | excluded |