← Live flags
Polymarket · Politics · one bet
OpenResolves Nov 3
$30.4k
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Euan sold No at 76¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 24% chance. 40,115 shares, Oct 29, 13:36 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $30.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 24% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet Euan sold No for $30.4k at an average 76¢. At that price the market implied 24% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $30.4k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry +0.8 ptsNo price · entry 76¢ · now 75¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Related news
Same names, last 7 daysTrump administration opens criminal investigation over alleged noncitizen voting in CaliforniaThe Guardian · 18m agoJudge denies the Justice Department's bid to stop processing California ballotsNPR · 21h ago
Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | LOW Yes UP +10.5 pts | $183.7k 24h vol |
OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 73¢ | $29.2k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |