Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A bought No at 73¢. The price gave that side a 73% chance. 40,000 shares, Oct 29, 13:48 EDT.

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What this means. A wallet put $29.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 73% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →

[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A bought No for $29.2k at an average 73¢. At that price the market implied 73% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $29.2k+1

Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Politics

What 73¢ means

73%chance the market gave

−270American odds

$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry +2.5 pts

No price · entry 73¢ · now 76¢

Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

The Four Academics Who Dreamed Up California’s Billionaire Tax Prop. 40WSJ · Google News · 4h ago Is California’s Proposed Billionaire Tax in Trouble? New Polls Find Bad NewsKQED · Google News · 9h ago Billionaire tax battle heats up on Instagram with unlikely influencers paid to pick sidesLos Angeles Times · Google News · 11h ago Billionaire tax, transgender rights and voter access among key midterm ballot measures - ABC NewsBreaking News, Latest News and Videos · Google News · 11h ago

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result	Open on Polymarket
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	LOW Yes UP +10.5 pts	$183.7k 24h vol	33%	—	1h ago	OpenResolves Nov 3
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	MED SELL No @ 76¢	$30.4k	24%	Euan	3h ago	OpenResolves Nov 3

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?OpenResolves Nov 3

Yes UP +10.5 pts$183.7k

LOW Politics · 1h ago