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Polymarket · Other · one bet
OpenResolves Oct 31
$19.4k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Coarse-Mallow sold No at 99.9¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 0% chance. 19,451 shares, Oct 29, 16:39 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $19.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet Coarse-Mallow sold No for $19.4k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied 0% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $19.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry -0.1 ptsNo price · entry 99.9¢ · now 100¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $42.9k | OpenResolves Oct 31 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.6k | OpenResolves Oct 31 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $52.6k | OpenResolves Oct 31 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $355.3k 7.4× usual |
OpenResolves Oct 31 |