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What this means. A wallet put $16.0k on Natus Vincere, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.4 pts over 48 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.0k
BUY Natus Vincere @ 47¢ · 34,137 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet YYYYY999 took Natus Vincere (buy) for $16.0k at an average 47¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. The market resolved Natus Vincere, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 47¢ means
47%chance the market gave
+113American odds
$1.00paid per share if Natus Vincere wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 47¢
- Implied odds
- 47.0%
- As American odds
- +113 no vig
- Size
- $16.0k
- Placed
- Oct 03, 06:25 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 03, 12:30 EDT
- Result
- Natus Vincere
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- YYYYY999
- Tx
- 0xcf31136c…
This wallet's graded record
23/48-3.4 pts
expected 24.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +53 ptsNatus Vincere price · entry 47¢ · resolved Natus Vincere
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY G2 @ 54¢ | $18.9k | excluded | |
| MED BUY G2 @ 54¢ | $60.6k | excluded | |
| MED BUY G2 @ 53¢ | $41.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Natus Vincere @ 48¢ | $10.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY G2 @ 53¢ | $15.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY G2 @ 53¢ | $14.1k | missed |