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What this means. A wallet put $10.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 64% chance. It won. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.4k
SELL Yes @ 36¢ · 28,966 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet KiernanMeister took Yes (sell) for $10.4k at an average 36¢. At that price the market implied a 64% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 36¢
- Implied odds
- 64.2%
- Size
- $10.4k
- Placed
- May 10, 23:27 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 06, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- KiernanMeister
- Tx
- 0xcdb1cd17…
This wallet's graded record
4/5+0.3 pts
expected 4.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $106.7k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.3k | excluded |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $20.3k | excluded |