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What this means. A wallet put $18.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$18.3k
SELL No @ 99.9¢ · 18,344 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Politics
What happened
Wallet 0x4488…e319 took No (sell) for $18.3k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $18.3k
- Placed
- Jul 01, 18:18 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 06, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x4488…e319
- Tx
- 0x2e618ab5…
This wallet's graded record
11/12+12.9 pts
expected 9.5 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $106.7k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $20.3k | excluded |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $11.7k | excluded |