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What this means. A wallet put $32.4k on Under, at a price that gave it a 31% chance. It won. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$32.4k
BUY Under @ 31¢ · 104,496 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet CandleHammerDrums took Under (buy) for $32.4k at an average 31¢. At that price the market implied a 31% chance for that side. The market resolved Under, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $32.4k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 31¢ means
31%chance the market gave
+223American odds
$1.00paid per share if Under wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 31¢
- Implied odds
- 31.0%
- As American odds
- +223 no vig
- Size
- $32.4k
- Placed
- Jul 07, 14:40 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 07, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- Under
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- CandleHammerDrums
- Tx
- 0xcda8bccb…
This wallet's graded record
11/18+14.3 pts
expected 8.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +69 ptsUnder price · entry 31¢ · resolved Under
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 98.6¢ | $31.0k | excluded |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5 | HIGH BUY Under @ 83¢ | $129.5k 4.9× usual |
excluded |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 88¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5 | MED BUY Over @ 40¢ | $41.7k | excluded |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 40¢ | $16.1k | excluded |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5 | MED BUY Under @ 60¢ | $40.1k | excluded |