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gwhivan

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$223.7k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$17.6k
Last 30 days +$814 · $935.7k volume · 186 trades · since Nov 25, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$37.7k
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$20.0k
Closed-position win rate
87%
38 closed
Wallet age · markets
333d
41 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13?LOW BUY Yes @ 92.2¢ $25.0k92% 40d agoexcluded
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY Spain @ 92.9¢ $40.0k93% 96d agoexcluded
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY Argentina @ 95.7¢ $39.4k96% 100d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY Argentina @ 88¢ $16.0k88% 104d agoexcluded
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY England @ 95.6¢ $31.0k96% 104d agoexcluded
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5LOW BUY Under @ 98.6¢ $31.0k99% 108d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5LOW BUY Over @ 92¢ $28.5k92% 108d agoexcluded
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5LOW BUY Over @ 83¢ $12.8k83% 112d agoexcluded

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