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What this means. A wallet put $27.7k on Elena Rybakina, at a price that gave it a 89% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$27.7k
BUY Elena Rybakina @ 89¢ · 31,248 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 08AF took Elena Rybakina (buy) for $27.7k at an average 89¢. At that price the market implied a 89% chance for that side. The market resolved Elina Svitolina. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $27.7k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 89¢ means
89%chance the market gave
−770American odds
$1.00paid per share if Elena Rybakina wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 89¢
- Implied odds
- 88.5%
- As American odds
- −770 no vig
- Size
- $27.7k
- Placed
- May 13, 14:36 EDT
- Market close
- May 13, 13:55 EDT
- Result
- Elina Svitolina
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 08AF
- Tx
- 0xcd5c6868…
This wallet's graded record
7/8+17.8 pts
expected 5.6 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade -89 ptsElena Rybakina price · entry 89¢ · resolved Elina Svitolina
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina | LOW SELL Elina Svitolina @ 82¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina | LOW BUY Elina Svitolina @ 88¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina | MED SELL Elina Svitolina @ 83¢ | $27.3k | excluded |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina | LOW BUY Elina Svitolina @ 49¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina | LOW BUY Elena Rybakina @ 88¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina | LOW BUY Elena Rybakina @ 83¢ | $21.1k | excluded |