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What this means. A wallet put $19.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 91% chance. It won. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.8k
BUY Yes @ 91.1¢ · 21,685 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteOther
What happened
Wallet Treadmilled took Yes (buy) for $19.8k at an average 91.1¢. At that price the market implied a 91% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 91¢ means
91%chance the market gave
−1030American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 91.1¢
- Implied odds
- 91.1%
- Size
- $19.8k
- Placed
- Jan 30, 11:32 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Treadmilled
- Tx
- 0xcd52ae3e…
This wallet's graded record
1/5-22.5 pts
expected 2.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +9 ptsYes price · entry 91.1¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $64.8k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.3k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $26.1k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $17.0k | excluded |