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What this means. A wallet put $70.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$70.5k
BUY No @ 98.9¢ · 71,297 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)2.1× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet IlIIllIIIllIIl took No (buy) for $70.5k at an average 98.9¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $70.5k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−9277American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.9¢
- Implied odds
- 98.9%
- Size
- $70.5k
- Placed
- Feb 23, 18:21 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- IlIIllIIIllIIl
- Tx
- 0xcbfdaffb…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-95.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $60.2k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $77.7k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $19.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $1.01M 26.2× usual |
excluded |