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What this means. A wallet put $65.0k on Atlanta Braves, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesmissed
$65.0k
BUY Atlanta Braves @ 50¢ · 130,244 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1h3.5× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet 0x9e3e…f882 took Atlanta Braves (buy) for $65.0k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved Philadelphia Phillies, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $65.0k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
+100American odds
$1.00paid per share if Atlanta Braves wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
50¢
Implied odds
49.9%
As American odds
+100 no vig
Size
$65.0k
Placed
Sep 29, 21:57 EDT
Market close
Sep 30, 14:00 EDT
Result
Philadelphia Phillies
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x9e3e…f882
Tx
0xc7f6e9d7…
This wallet's graded record
0/7-41.8 pts
expected 2.9 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -50 pts
Atlanta Braves price · entry 50¢ · resolved Philadelphia Phillies
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 50¢ · $65.0k WHALE $65.0K @ 50¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesLOW SELL Philadelphia Phillies @ 99.9¢ $11.9k0% ROI-Human24d agoexcluded
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesLOW SELL Philadelphia Phillies @ 99.9¢ $10.0k0% 0x50be…371b24d agoexcluded
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesLOW SELL Philadelphia Phillies @ 99.9¢ $18.4k0% 0xd1ec…5d8e24d agoexcluded
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesLOW BUY Philadelphia Phillies @ 81¢ $14.7k81% 0xd1ec…5d8e24d agoexcluded
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesMED BUY Atlanta Braves @ 73¢ $41.7k73% ziyoucui24d agoexcluded
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesLOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 61¢ $22.7k61% 364839348904724d agoexcluded
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesexcluded
SELL Philadelphia Phillies @ 99.9¢$11.9k
LOW ROI-Human · 24d ago
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesexcluded
SELL Philadelphia Phillies @ 99.9¢$10.0k
LOW 0x50be…371b · 24d ago
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesexcluded
SELL Philadelphia Phillies @ 99.9¢$18.4k
LOW 0xd1ec…5d8e · 24d ago
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesexcluded
BUY Philadelphia Phillies @ 81¢$14.7k
LOW 0xd1ec…5d8e · 24d ago
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesexcluded
BUY Atlanta Braves @ 73¢$41.7k
MED ziyoucui · 24d ago
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesexcluded
BUY Atlanta Braves @ 61¢$22.7k
LOW 3648393489047 · 24d ago

Whale money on this game, both venues

$10k+ trades we flagged on Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves, added up per side across Polymarket and Kalshi. These are trade sizes, not open positions, and Kalshi doesn't show who traded, so one person could be on both venues.

Atlanta Braves 13 trades$619.2k
Polymarket $590.7k (this flag)Kalshi $28.5k
Philadelphia Phillies 3 trades$44.3k
Polymarket $28.8kKalshi $15.5k

Bars are scaled to the bigger side. Activity, not a recommendation: big money on a side has not beaten the price on our scoreboard.

Same game on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi doesn't show who traded.

YES Philadelphia$15.5k50¢23d ago
NO Atlanta$15.0k50¢23d ago
YES Atlanta$28.5k51¢23d ago