What happened
Wallet 0xd1ec…5d8e took Philadelphia Phillies (buy) for $14.7k at an average 81¢. At that price the market implied a 81% chance for that side. The market resolved Philadelphia Phillies. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWShares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 81¢
- Implied odds
- 81.0%
- As American odds
- −426 no vig
- Size
- $14.7k
- Placed
- Sep 30, 17:09 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 30, 14:00 EDT
- Result
- Philadelphia Phillies
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xd1ec…5d8e
- Tx
- 0xdeee29c5…
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Philadelphia Phillies @ 99.9¢ | $11.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Philadelphia Phillies @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Philadelphia Phillies @ 99.9¢ | $18.4k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Atlanta Braves @ 73¢ | $41.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 61¢ | $22.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 54¢ | $17.4k | excluded |
Whale money on this game, both venues
$10k+ trades we flagged on Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves, added up per side across Polymarket and Kalshi. These are trade sizes, not open positions, and Kalshi doesn't show who traded, so one person could be on both venues.
Bars are scaled to the bigger side. Activity, not a recommendation: big money on a side has not beaten the price on our scoreboard.
Same game on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi doesn't show who traded.
| YES Philadelphia | $15.5k | 50¢ | 23d ago |
| NO Atlanta | $15.0k | 50¢ | 23d ago |
| YES Atlanta | $28.5k | 51¢ | 23d ago |