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What this means. A wallet put $14.7k on Philadelphia Phillies, at a price that gave it a 81% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesexcluded
$14.7k
BUY Philadelphia Phillies @ 81¢ · 18,200 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0xd1ec…5d8e took Philadelphia Phillies (buy) for $14.7k at an average 81¢. At that price the market implied a 81% chance for that side. The market resolved Philadelphia Phillies. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $14.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 81¢ means
81%chance the market gave
−426American odds
$1.00paid per share if Philadelphia Phillies wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
81¢
Implied odds
81.0%
As American odds
−426 no vig
Size
$14.7k
Placed
Sep 30, 17:09 EDT
Market close
Sep 30, 14:00 EDT
Result
Philadelphia Phillies
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0xd1ec…5d8e
Tx
0xdeee29c5…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+31.8 pts
expected 0.7 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesLOW SELL Philadelphia Phillies @ 99.9¢ $11.9k0% ROI-Human24d agoexcluded
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesLOW SELL Philadelphia Phillies @ 99.9¢ $10.0k0% 0x50be…371b24d agoexcluded
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesLOW SELL Philadelphia Phillies @ 99.9¢ $18.4k0% 0xd1ec…5d8e24d agoexcluded
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesMED BUY Atlanta Braves @ 73¢ $41.7k73% ziyoucui24d agoexcluded
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesLOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 61¢ $22.7k61% 364839348904724d agoexcluded
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesLOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 54¢ $17.4k54% FlamePyro24d agoexcluded

Whale money on this game, both venues

$10k+ trades we flagged on Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves, added up per side across Polymarket and Kalshi. These are trade sizes, not open positions, and Kalshi doesn't show who traded, so one person could be on both venues.

Atlanta Braves 13 trades$619.2k
Polymarket $590.7kKalshi $28.5k
Philadelphia Phillies 3 trades$44.3k
Polymarket $28.8k (this flag)Kalshi $15.5k

Bars are scaled to the bigger side. Activity, not a recommendation: big money on a side has not beaten the price on our scoreboard.

Same game on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi doesn't show who traded.

YES Philadelphia$15.5k50¢23d ago
NO Atlanta$15.0k50¢23d ago
YES Atlanta$28.5k51¢23d ago