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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +31.8 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+31.8 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$184.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±46.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$364.8k
Last 30 days −$25.0k · $2.95M volume · 3,414 trades · since Aug 09, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$398.2k
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$33.0k
Closed-position win rate
84%
86 closed
Wallet age · markets
806d
85 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +31.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW SELL Philadelphia Phillies @ 99.9¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY Philadelphia Phillies @ 81¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $16.7k | called |
 Rams vs. Seahawks | LOW SELL Seahawks @ 99.9¢ | $37.4k | excluded |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | LOW BUY Seahawks @ 99¢ | $35.1k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $36.6k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW BUY Patriots @ 68¢ | $24.9k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xd1ecfa…