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What this means. A wallet put $19.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 13% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.5k
SELL No @ 87¢ · 22,424 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet grinder456 took No (sell) for $19.5k at an average 87¢. At that price the market implied a 13% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 87¢
- Implied odds
- 13.0%
- Size
- $19.5k
- Placed
- Jul 25, 04:42 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- grinder456
- Tx
- 0xc6e2c555…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-13.0 pts
expected 0.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $37.7k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $25.9k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |