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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -13.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-13.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$30.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±33.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$16.5k
Last 30 days −$0 · $1.09M volume · 2,596 trades · since Apr 26, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$16.5k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$7
Closed-position win rate
42%
225 closed
Wallet age · markets
181d
194 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -13.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW SELL No @ 87¢ | $19.5k | missed |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 98.8¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x2b9dd0…