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What this means. A wallet put $10.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-2.9 pts over 22 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.5k
BUY Yes @ 42¢ · 25,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet TheReturnOfDarthMaul took Yes (buy) for $10.5k at an average 42¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 42¢ means
42%chance the market gave
+139American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 42¢
- Implied odds
- 41.9%
- Size
- $10.5k
- Placed
- Apr 16, 14:37 EDT
- Market close
- May 19, 20:18 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- TheReturnOfDarthMaul
- Tx
- 0xc491a7e8…
This wallet's graded record
15/22-2.9 pts
expected 15.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW SELL No @ 79¢ | $14.8k | missed |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | MED BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $12.0k | missed |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 57¢ | $14.2k | called |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $14.5k | missed |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $25.0k | missed |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW BUY No @ 60¢ | $17.4k | called |