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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.2 wins, so it did -10.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-10.0 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.2
Flagged volume
$29.1k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$1,580
Last 30 days +$0 · $998.3k volume · 1,934 trades · since Jan 18, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$172.6k
Open P&L · 18 positions
−$160.6k
Closed-position win rate
89%
18 closed
Wallet age · markets
279d
36 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | +40.0 pts |
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -60.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW BUY No @ 60¢ | $17.4k | called |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $11.6k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x62a173…