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What this means. A wallet put $19.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.9k
BUY No @ 99.4¢ · 20,066 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Crypto
What happened
Wallet adonpoli took No (buy) for $19.9k at an average 99.4¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.9k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−16567American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.4¢
- Implied odds
- 99.4%
- Size
- $19.9k
- Placed
- Jun 01, 17:54 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 01, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- adonpoli
- Tx
- 0xc457dcba…
This wallet's graded record
1/4-7.2 pts
expected 1.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $93.3k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $351.6k | excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $360.0k 7.9× usual |
excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |