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What this means. A wallet put $12.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 89% chance. It won. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?called
$12.1k
BUY No @ 89¢ · 13,600 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet EB99999 took No (buy) for $12.1k at an average 89¢. At that price the market implied a 89% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $12.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 89¢ means
89%chance the market gave
−809American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
89¢
Implied odds
89.0%
Size
$12.1k
Placed
May 19, 04:55 EDT
Market close
May 30, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
EB99999
Tx
0xc3d28ce4…
This wallet's graded record
2/9-52.7 pts
expected 6.7 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +11 pts
No price · entry 89¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 89¢ · $12.1k WHALE $12.1K @ 89¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $12.0k0% 0x9561…5497145d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $24.8k0% madril145d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.9k0% Alphax145d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ $100.1k
4.0× usual
0% strike123145d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.6k0% Thaws145d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $16.6k0% Wogg145d agoexcluded