← Live flags
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)called
What this means. A wallet put $40.8k on Bears, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It won. This wallet has only 19 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)called$40.8k
BUY Bears @ 51¢ · 80,034 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet gmpm2 took Bears (buy) for $40.8k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Bears, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $40.8k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Bears wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 51.0%
- As American odds
- −104 no vig
- Size
- $40.8k
- Placed
- Sep 28, 14:39 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 28, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Bears
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- gmpm2
- Tx
- 0xc3ca8a7b…
This wallet's graded record
9/19-9.1 pts
expected 10.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +49 ptsBears price · entry 51¢ · resolved Bears
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | LOW BUY Eagles @ 44¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | LOW BUY Eagles @ 48¢ | $23.6k | excluded |
| Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | MED BUY Eagles @ 48¢ | $169.3k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | MED BUY Eagles @ 48¢ | $38.4k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | MED BUY Eagles @ 48¢ | $144.0k 6.0× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | LOW BUY Eagles @ 48¢ | $10.1k | missed |