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What this means. A wallet put $41.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$41.4k
SELL Yes @ 45¢ · 92,700 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet auggl00p took Yes (sell) for $41.4k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied a 55% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $41.4k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 45¢
- Implied odds
- 55.4%
- As American odds
- −124 no vig
- Size
- $41.4k
- Placed
- Feb 16, 17:00 EST
- Market close
- Feb 17, 15:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- auggl00p
- Tx
- 0xc3c6b797…
This wallet's graded record
1/4-36.9 pts
expected 2.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -55 ptsYes price · entry 45¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $159.4k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17? | MED BUY Yes @ 48¢ | $37.6k | excluded |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 49¢ | $29.4k | excluded |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17? | LOW BUY No @ 52¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17? | HIGH BUY No @ 52¢ | $263.2k 9.9× usual |
excluded |