← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $18.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 33% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$18.7k
BUY Yes @ 33¢ · 56,661 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x4f75…af7e took Yes (buy) for $18.7k at an average 33¢. At that price the market implied a 33% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 33¢ means
33%chance the market gave
+203American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 33¢
- Implied odds
- 33.0%
- Size
- $18.7k
- Placed
- May 12, 15:32 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x4f75…af7e
- Tx
- 0xc325c25e…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+20.1 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $65.7k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.2k | excluded |